Tagged: Cameron

Looking to 2011

With the signing of John Lackey and (potentially) Mike Cameron, I
can’t help but look to the future. Epstein always said he was building for the future,
and this is what it looks like for 2010:

With Adrian Gonzalez:

  1. CF – Jacoby Ellsbury
  2. 2B – Dustin Pedroia
  3. C – Victor Martinez
  4. 1B – Adrian Gonzalez
  5. 3B – Kevin Youkilis
  6. DH – David Ortiz
  7. RF – J.D. Drew
  8. LF – Mike Cameron/Jeremy Hermida
  9. SS – Marco Scutaro

Without Adrian Gonzalez:

  1. CF – Jacoby Ellsbury
  2. 2B – Dustin Pedroia
  3. C – Victor Martinez
  4. 1/3B – Kevin Youkilis
  5. DH – David Ortiz
  6. RF – J.D. Drew
  7. LF Mike Cameron/Jeremy Hermida
  8. 1/3B – Casey Kotchman (Adrian Beltre)
  9. SS – Marco Scutaro

That lineup looks significantly more powerful with Adrian Gonzalez in there. If
Adrian Beltre signs instead, you’re looking at something slightly different.
Either way, even if you keep it the way it is now, you’re looking at a team that can
support the superior pitching staff. World Series caliber? Maybe not. Our offense
probably can’t beat that of the Phillies or the Yankees, but when all is said and done,
adding Adrian Gonzalez means a Boston team that’s somewhat equal (on paper,
statistically, anyway) to the offensive numbers of the Yankee collective. Even if
Epstein deals Jacoby Ellsbury to San Diego with Clay Buchholz,
you’ve got a decent outfield of Drew/Hermida/Cameron, and if you add someone like
Xavier Nady to that mix, you’re looking at a great team with Adrian Gonzalez
spearheading it. Welcome to the playoffs.

Now, a look at the pitching staff.

With Adrian Gonzalez:

  1. SP – Josh Beckett
  2. SP – John Lackey
  3. SP – Jon Lester
  4. SP – Daisuke Matsuzaka
  5. SP – Tim Wakefield
  6. RP – Hideki Okajima
  7. RP – Ramon Ramirez
  8. RP – Ramon Ramirez (this is going to be a confusing year … )
  9. RP – Manny Delcarman
  10. RP – Boof Bonser (Or maybe Michael Bowden?)
  11. RP – Daniel Bard
  12. CL – Jonathan Papelbon

Without Adrian around you essentially have the same setup, except you see
Buchholz in the rotation and probably Wakefield in the ‘pen. Either way, arguably the
best staff in baseball. Where the bullpen lacks in depth, the starting rotation makes
up for in pure number of Aces. Three Number 1 guys and 2 interesting additions in
the back of the rotation equals quality starts more often than not, and a solid rotation
to help the relatively lacking offense.

Maybe 2010 is still the bridge year, though. It’s hard to imagine this when you add
over $30 Million in payroll, but hear me out.

Joe Mauer

The 2010 Free Agent market includes the likes of Joe Mauer, Carl
Crawford
, Cliff Lee (as he likely won’t sign an extension with Seattle),
and Brandon Webb. Epstein always preferred the 2010 market over the
2009 market, and he always said he was building up for it.

Brandon Webb

With Ortiz’s $13 Million coming off the books along with Victor Martinez’s $7.1 Million,
Beckett’s $12 Million and Varitek’s $3 Million, not to mention $19.5 Million owed to
Alex Gonzalez, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, and Billy Wagner, you’re looking at significant
money coming off the payroll.

In 2010, if you add Adrian Gonzalez, you’re
looking at a team payroll of about $150 Million. Upon the completion
of the season, it will drop to about $83 Million.

So what do you do in the 2010 offseason? You break the bank. You give contract
extensions to Beckett (who’s going to want a Lackey-like deal) and Martinez (who’s
going to want around $10 Million a year). After letting Ortiz and Varitek go, you go
out and sign Mauer (if you can pry him from Minnesota and the Yanks), Crawford (or
you trade for him during the 2010 season and sign him longterm), and either Lee
(who will want a Sabathia-like Contract) or Webb (who will want Lackey-like
terms).

Let’s run the figures again. 2011, pending all those moves, would bring the payroll
back up to between $160-$170 Million. Expensive, but look at that
potential Roster:

  1. SP – Cliff Lee (or Brandon Webb)
  2. SP – Josh Beckett
  3. SP – John Lackey
  4. SP – Jon Lester
  5. SP – Daisuke Matsuzaka
  6. CL – Jonathan Papelbon
  7. C – Joe Mauer
  8. 1B – Adrian Gonzalez
  9. 2B – Dustin Pedroia
  10. SS – Marco Scutaro
  11. 3B – Kevin Youkilis
  12. LF – Carl Crawford
  13. CF – Jacoby Ellsbury
  14. RF – J.D. Drew
  15. DH – Victor Martinez (keeps him fresh, but can give Mauer days off
    behind the plate without the team losing offense)
  16. RP – Daniel Bard
  17. RP – Tim Wakefield
  18. RP – Hideki Okajima
  19. RP – Manny Delcarman
  20. RP – Junichi Tazawa
  21. BC – Mark Wagner (Mostly a security policy in case the in-game
    catcher gets injured, so the DH doesn’t have to go behind the plate, making
    the pitcher have to hit)
  22. IF – Jose Iglesias (or Jed Lowrie if Iglesias isn’t ready for the
    bigs)
  23. IF – (Someone who can back up Youkilis at third)
  24. OF – Mike Cameron
  25. (Utility Fielder)

For $165 Million, if that can’t win a World Series, nothing can.

2007 World Series

Advertisements

Once a Pirate, Always a Pirate

Jason Bay

I can’t remember the last time I’ve seen a decent slugger face-palm himself so many
times at Fenway Park. Oh wait – maybe I can! Jason Bay comes to mind.

As a fellow Canadian, I was one of few people in the know regarding Jason Bay
before he threw himself into All-Star status. When he was coming up through the
Padres and Pirates organizations he was the pride of Canada. With Larry
Walker
retiring, and people like Jeff Francis and Matt Stairs on
the decline, he found himself in the spotlight with every major media outlet in
Canada. And then, as quickly as he became a star, Russell Martin and
Joey Votto took his place.

Enter July 2008. he gets traded to Boston in a blockbuster for Manny
Ramirez
. He plays his first Major League game in Canada. He thrives in the
middle of the lineup for a big market club.

And then he balked. He pulls off 36 HR and 119 RBI, but combined with 162
strikeouts and a mediocre-at-best AVG of .267.

Looks like he slipped again. With the Red Sox signing Mike Cameron to fill a
spot in LF alongside Jeremy Hermida, and John Lackey as a way of
spending the money thought to be going to Bay, he’s almost guaranteed to be
leaving Beantown. I for one am totally okay with that, as much as I loved his time
here.

You tried to get more money than you’re worth. You’ve seen how Epstein works in
the past, Jason. He always gets the job done when he needs to, and trying to steal
money from him that you don’t deserve won’t work. If someone else wants to pay you
that much, then good for them.  Maybe you could find a career as a true
Buccaneer.

Enjoy your life in Seattle or Queens. Between the coffee and great Broadway shows
(not to mention the great shopping in both cities! A great opportunity to spend all
that cash!), they’re two great choices for you to never win a World Series in. Enjoy
never seeing the post-season again. I hope the extra year and $15 million was worth
playing in a pitcher’s park on clubs that will always be “just not quite good enough”.

Don’t let the door hit you on the way out.

New Gifts Under Tree for Red Sox

Just when we all thought the worst was only starting – Epstein supposedly rebuilding
Jason Bay apparently willing to go somewhere else … Listening to more
Yank-fan gibberish – Christmas came early for the Red Sox.

First, reports of John Lackey agreeing on 5 years @ $85 Million, pending a
physical and some paperwork (it’s about time, too! I was starting to get sick of
seeing him shut us out seemingly every time we played LA over the last couple
years!).

John Lackey

Follow that up with the news that the not only are the Yankees not getting Roy
Halladay
, but that we’re only going to have to face Roy in Inter-league play
and/or the World Series. After not landing Halladay ourselves, that’s a fantastic door
prize.

The Yankees lost out again short after, with the news that Hideki Matsui is to
sign with the Angels.  Bye Bye, Godzilla.

Mike Cameron

But wait, there’s more! That’s right – for two affordable installments of $7.75 Million,
we’ll give you not just a perennial 20+HR hitter, not just arguably the best defensive
CF in the game, not just a great clubhouse personality, but all three of these in
one! Mike Cameron, welcome to Beantown! It’s yet to be mentioned if he’s
Bay’s replacement, or if he’s going to play a platoon with Hermida in left. Maybe he’ll
move to CF, moving Ellsbury to Left. Maybe move Ellsbury to RF, and Drew to LF
where he might be better suited? Regardless, we now have options.

Merry Christmas, BoSox!

Wednesday Roundup @ the Winter Meetings

Jason Bay

  • 6:04pm EST: Theo Epstein doesn’t expect any kind of blockbuster move
    before the meetings end, according to Alex Speier of WEEI.com. Epstein
    – “I don’t think we’ll make a blockbuster between now and (leaving) …
    Something small could come up.
    ”  Also, talks haven’t progressed with
    Jason Bay‘s representatives. Epstein – “Those guys are off doing their
    thing
    .”
  • According to Alex, Adrian Gonzalez will likely be a Padre in 2010 –
    Bud Black says “Do I anticipate him being with the club in 2010?
    Yes.

Matt Holliday

  • The Red Sox reportedly met with Scott Boras, with one item on the menu
    being Matt Holliday, however Jason Bay is still the club’s first choice.

Mike Lowell

Adrian Beltre

  • Rob Bradford of WEEI.com reports that the Red Sox are discussing a
    deal that would send Mike Lowell to Texas. Who would be coming to
    Beantown at this point is suggested to be catching prospect Max
    Ramirez
    . The deal is reported as “not close”, but is starting to heat up. As
    expected, Boston’s front office would have to front a bill for a significant majority
    of Lowell’s 2010 contract. Mike has also been rumored to be on the block to go
    to the Cubs for Milton Bradley, although that seems rather unlikely. So
    unlikely, in fact, that Ian Browne has called shenanigans on the idea.

Justin Duchscherer

  • Multiple sources report that the Red Sox have a significant interest in free agent
    Adrian Beltre. Because Mike Lowell will probably be traded to a team
    such as Texas, a deal for Beltre is not only a real possibility, but almost a
    requirement for Boston to keep a strong offense in 2010. However, Beltre’s agent
    is Scott Boras, so expect life to be a relative hell in the coming weeks. The Giants
    were originally thought of as being potential suitors of Beltre, but in reality they’re
    looking for a short-term fix at first base and a center fielder, allowing them to
    move Aaron Rowand to the corner infield.

Mike Cameron

  • Rob Bradford also reports that the Red Sox have not made any progress on a
    Justin Duchscherer deal.  They talked last on Sunday night. 11
    other teams are reportedly interested in the pitcher. Maybe if the Red Sox sign
    him, I’ll learn how to pronounce the Duke of Hurls’s real name properly.

Rich Harden

  • The Red Sox appear interested in Mike Cameron.
  • Red Sox were mentioned as forerunners for Rich Harden after he
    mentioned he was willing to take a one year incentive-driven deal, but the
    Rangers seemingly won the race.

Coco Crisp

  • The Red Sox are not likely interested in Rafael Soriano.
  • Jayson Stark of ESPN says that the Red Sox have a couple teams they
    could trade Mike Lowell to.
  • Low level interest in bringing back Coco Crisp. If you could sign him with
    a clause in his contract stating that he has to get into a brawl every night with the
    starting pitcher, I say go for it!

Aroldis Chapman

  • Ramon A. Ramirez claimed off waivers from Tampa Bay. Fabio
    Castro
    signed to a one-year non-guaranteed contract.
  • Expect the Red Sox brass to be in Houston next week to watch Aroldis
    Chapman
    ‘s bullpen session, alongside the Yankees and Angels, at the very
    least.